They’re building the perfect trap, and you’re cheering for It. for INDEX:BTCUSD by without_worries

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The Story

Markets have an uncanny ability to fool the largest number of participants at the most critical moments. Bitcoin is once again setting that stage.

While the crowd celebrates new highs and “the strongest bull market ever,” the structure is quietly repeating the same pattern that preceded every major cycle top.

At the same time influencers across social media continue to gaslight audiences on the promises of “Alt season” in quarter 4, even though the cycle top is ridiculously close the charts are signalling something is not quite right.

Do the following charts suggest green months ahead?

Each bull market, 2013, 2017, 2021 produced a sequence of consecutive green six-month candles before exhaustion:

* 2012 – 2013 → 5 green six-month candles

* 2015 – 2017 → 6 candles

* 2020 – 2021 → 4 candles

* 2023 – 2025 → now at 5 candles

Six month candle count in each bull market

It’s not the count that matters, it’s the context. Every cycle ends in euphoria, and euphoria is exactly what a 6-month Gravestone DOJI represents: a candle of rejection formed at the height of optimism.

On shorter timeframes, that same behaviour repeats. The 1 month and 3 month charts both print hammers, powerful reversal setups when they appear at cycle extremes, not continuation zones.

1 month hammer

3 month hammer

6 month Gravestone DOJI

What’s Next

The combination of the 1-month hammer, 3-month hammer, and 6-month Gravestone DOJI forms what can only be described as a trap structure, a technical pattern that invites late buyers before liquidity vanishes.

Historically, when Bitcoin posts a Gravestone DOJI on the higher timeframe following four to six green candles, it signals a pause or the beginning of distribution.

The takeaway is simple:

If the 6-month candle confirms red in early 2026, the trap will have sprung and history will have rhymed again.

Conclusions

This isn’t the end of Bitcoin, but it may be the end of this particular cycle.

A Gravestone DOJI doesn’t kill a trend on its own, but at the tail of a multi-year rally, it’s the market whispering “take profit while you still can.”

They’ve built the perfect trap, the market makers, and the majority are cheering it on.

Until confirmation proves otherwise, caution is not bearish, it’s survival.

Ww

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Disclaimer

This post is for educational purposes only and reflects personal opinion, not financial advice.

I hold no position in Bitcoin and have no vested interest in the outcome of this analysis.

Cryptocurrency markets are volatile and unpredictable; always conduct your own research, manage your risk carefully, and base decisions on your own strategy and timeframe.

Patience and confirmation always outlast emotion.

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